Moody’s Forecasts 59% Growth in Sustainable Bond Issuance as Volumes Surge
Credit ratings, research, and risk analysis provider Moody’s Investors Service released its quarterly sustainable finance update today, raising its forecast for 2021 green, social and sustainability bond issuance to a record-shattering $850 billion, as volumes continue to surge.
According to the report from Moody’s global sustainable bond issuance reached $189 billion in Q2 2021, increasing 66% over the prior year quarter, driven by 48% growth in green bonds to $94 billion, 59% growth in social bonds to $46 billion, and more than 150% growth in sustainability bonds to $49 billion. Issuance pulled back slightly from the record $238 billion set in Q1 2021.
Matthew Kuchtyak, Assistant Vice President-Analyst at Moody’s, said:
“Following record first-half issuance, we now forecast about $450 billion of green bonds and $200 billion each of social bonds and sustainability bonds this year. We still expect sustainable bonds to account for around 8%-10% of global debt issuance in 2021, as issuers across all segments of the market continue to explore how they can link their capital markets activities with their sustainability objectives.”
Moody’s $850 billion sustainable bond issuance forecast marks a significant jump over its prior estimate of $650 billion, and would see issuance increase 59% over last year’s record $533 billion. Moody’s expects sustainable bonds to account for 8% – 10% of total global debt issuance this year.
The report also noted continued growth in the sustainability-linked debt market, an emerging form of financing that ties the cost of capital to the issuer’s performance on specified sustainability metrics. Sustainability-linked loans and bonds each achieved record levels in Q2, with loan volumes reaching $156 billion, up 54% over the prior quarter, and bonds surging to $31 billion, more than triple the volume in Q1.